Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Troyes		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.8
	2.22	3.1	3.2
	2.38	3.2	3.27
	2.38	3.09	3.08	Watch
	2.34	3.16	3.06	Watch
	2.43	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.41)	3.14 ↑ (3)	3.19 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
40.9%

Draw
29.8%

Nancy
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Troyes - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Nancy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Troyes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lemaitre N. (G) 44. Titi Y. 6. Monfray A. (C) 25. Gozzi P. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 17. Mille A. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 15. Assoumou J. 21. Bentayeb T.	1. Basilio E. (G) 21. Mendy E. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 4. Fernandez N. 23. Bamba R. 17. Carlier M. 6. Bouriaud T. 19. Experience M. 8. Bouabdelli W. 7. Fdaouch Z. 20. Bokangu B.
Substitutes
11. Detourbet M. 9. El Idrissy M. 12. Gambor H. 40. Konate H. (G) 35. Murcy R. . Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A.	22. Evans J. 12. Julloux A. 40. Kenzo N. (G) 27. Maouassa F. 29. Ouotro P. 11. Sidibe O. 5. Suljic C.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Correa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Boura I. (A),
31', Assoumou J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Bentayeb T. (Pen),
55', Bentayeb T. (Pen),
64', Bokangu B. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
64', Mendy E. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
64', Bamba R. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
72', Assoumou J. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Adeline M. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
79', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
79', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
79', Experience M. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
79', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
84', Titi Y. ↓, Murcy R. ↑,
84', Adeline M. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Troyes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Troyes: Larouci Y. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nancy: Dabasse A. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Troyes - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Clermont - Troyes	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Troyes - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Troyes - Metz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
29.08.25	Nancy - Pau	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Nancy	1:3 ✺
15.08.25	Nancy - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodez - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Nancy - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
18.12.21	Troyes - Nancy	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
13.03.21	Troyes - Nancy	1:5
15.12.20	Nancy - Troyes	2:3
08.11.19	Nancy - Troyes	0:0
03.05.19	Troyes - Nancy	2:1
14.12.18	Nancy - Troyes	1:1
Club Friendly
13.07.18	Nancy - Troyes	1:0

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