Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Nancy		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2	3.25	3.7
	1.98	3.3	3.65
	2.04	3.48	3.84
	2.18	3.20	3.35	Watch
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.97	3.35	3.81	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	3.76 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
47.2%

Draw
28%

Pau
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nancy's form might have worsened.

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nancy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	15%	35%

Nancy - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Pau will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 3 - 50%). Pau (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Pau (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pau (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basilio E. (G) 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. (C) 4. Fernandez N. 23. Bamba R. 17. Carlier M. 6. Bouriaud T. 27. Maouassa F. 8. Bouabdelli W. 7. Fdaouch Z. 20. Bokangu B.	22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 21. Beusnard S. 10. Versini G. 97. Meddah D. 84. Touzghar R. 9. Mboup P. 14. Bobichon A.
Substitutes
13. Camara B. 22. Evans J. 40. Kenzo N. (G) 77. Nahounou Y. 29. Ouotro P. 11. Sidibe O. 5. Suljic C.	11. Gasnier K. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 34. Lebouath S. 36. Nihouarn T. 40. Paradowski T. (G)
Coaches
Correa P.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Bamba R. ⚽, Bokangu B. (A),
31', Carlier M. 🟨,
34', Meddah D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Beusnard S. ⚽, Mboup P. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Saint-Ruf N. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bokangu B. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
65', Bobichon A. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
66', Versini G. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
66', Kalulu J. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
76', Bouriaud T. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
76', Maouassa F. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
78', Touzghar R. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
83', Briancon A. ↓, Kante ↑,
83', Bamba R. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
84', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Mboup P. ⚽, Glossoa N. (A),

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Nancy might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Nancy: Camara B. (Inactive) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Toure C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Sadik O. (Inactive) Zuliani E. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Nancy	1:3 ✺
15.08.25	Nancy - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodez - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Nancy - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Nancy - Villefranche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTLW
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
25.08.25	Pau - Reims	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Bastia - Pau	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pau - Annecy	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Rodez - Pau	2:4 ✺
18.07.25	Real Sociedad - Pau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Nancy - Pau	2:3
24.07.21	Pau - Nancy	2:1
05.02.21	Nancy - Pau	1:0
03.10.20	Pau - Nancy	1:1

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