Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)


	Truro City		Brighton & Hove Albion U21

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.7	2.12
	2.84	3.68	2.17
	2.39	3.78	2.44	Watch
	2.87	3.62	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.39)	3.7 ↓ (3.78)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
33.7%

Draw
24.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion U21
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

23.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Truro City - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 7. En-Neyah Y. 21. Kinsey M. 29. Kite H. 20. Law R. 16. Love-Holmes T. 26. Marsh A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 19. Pyke R. 17. Sanogo S.	62. Ramming N. (G) 52. Albarus Z. 46. Atom N. 48. Barclay B. 59. Belmont J. 44. Keogh S. 68. Nti S. 57. Owusu Y. 50. Robertson J. 71. Silsby T. 54. Simmonds F. (C)
Substitutes
22. Adelsbury B. 4. Dean W. 14. Hasani L. 30. Howard W. (G) 15. Jephcott L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 3. Riley-Lowe C.	63. Ferdinand L. (G) . Hayden M. . Ibrahim Y. 64. Jensen S. (G) . Kasvosve H. . Middleton J. 13. West A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Marsh A. ↓, Johnson-Fisher D. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Sanogo S. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
41', Kinsey M. 🟨,
43', Love-Holmes T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↓, Dean W. ↑,
46', En-Neyah Y. ↓, Hasani L. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Johnson-Fisher D. ⚽,
63', Owusu Y. ↓, Kasvosve H. ↑,
63', Belmont J. ↓, West A. ↑,
65', Robertson J. ↓, Middleton J. ↑,
70', Pyke R. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
78', Silsby T. ↓, Ibrahim Y. ↑,
80', Bell Z. ↓, Riley-Lowe C. ↑,
88', Kasvosve H. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', Atom N. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Sanogo S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Truro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
18.10.25	Truro City - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Truro City - Totton	1:2 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Woking - Truro City	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Truro City - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTTL
- Brighton & Hove Albion U21
English Premier League 2
04.10.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Middlesbrough U21	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League 2
26.09.25	West Ham United U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:3 ✺
19.09.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Derby County U21	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Sutton United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTWW

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