Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Totton		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.52
	2.47	3.55	2.52
	1.49	3.70	7.42	Watch
	2.45	3.46	2.56	Watch
	2.21	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.59)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	3.37 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
43.5%

Draw
27.6%

Truro City
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

24.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Totton's performance.

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Totton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Totton - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Cordner T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, Love-Holmes T. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Totton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Truro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Totton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Totton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Totton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
04.10.25	Totton - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsham - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Totton - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Totton	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Totton - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLT
- Truro City
English National League
04.10.25	Woking - Truro City	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Truro City - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern Premier League
29.10.13	Truro City - Totton	3:2
03.09.13	Totton - Truro City	2:3

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