Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)


	Truro City		Totton

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.75	3.65	4.05
	1.85	3.56	3.76
	3.02	3.06	2.39	Watch
	1.79	3.64	4.06	Watch
	1.69	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.69)	3.51 ↓ (3.65)	3.75 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
47.9%

Draw
26.9%

Totton
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

26.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Totton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Truro City - Totton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Truro will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Lee T. ⚽,
45+1', Oastler J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Hasani L. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Rendell S. (Pen),
1, Jephcott L. (Pen),
2, Emmanuel-Thomas J. (Pen),
2, Riley-Lowe C. (Pen),
3, Dolling J. (Pen),
3, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. (Pen),
4, Tanner C. (Pen),
4, Hasani L. (Pen),
5, Cordner T. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. Replay (1st match was draw).

In recent matches, Truro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Totton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Totton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Truro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Truro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Truro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Woking - Truro City	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Truro City - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLWL
- AFC Totton
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Totton - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsham - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Totton - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Totton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1
English Southern Premier League
29.10.13	Truro City - Totton	3:2
03.09.13	Totton - Truro City	2:3

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