Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
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South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
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United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
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Usa	DAZN USA
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Vietnam	DAZN


	Truro City		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.18	3.2	3.25
	2.17	3.23	3.58
	25.00	15.08	1.01	Watch
	2.14	3.37	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.72 ↑ (2.56)	5.64 ↑ (3.35)	2.86 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
22%

Draw
26.2%

Eastleigh
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.5%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastleigh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eastleigh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Truro City - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastleigh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Truro (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 1 - 50%). Eastleigh (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 25. Donnellan S. 14. Hasani L. 15. Jephcott L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 20. Law R. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 8. Rooney D. 6. Sanders S.	1. Townsend N. (G) 11. Blair A. 21. Davis S. 6. Eweka T. 5. Fernandez L. 27. Harris A. 4. Humphries L. 15. Saunders H. 8. Taylor J. 3. Vokins J. 18. Waruih A.
Substitutes
22. Adelsbury B. 21. Kinsey M. 29. Kite H. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 26. Marsh A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 17. Sanogo S.	7. Evans K. 23. Holzman L. 34. Ingram F. 17. Lundstram J. 14. Massiah-Edwards Z. 22. McNamara J. (G) 30. Underhill C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Donnellan S. 🟨,
28', Fernandez L. 🟨,
39', Sanders S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Eweka T. ⚽, Harris A. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Blair A. ⚽, Saunders H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanders S. ↓, Kite H. ↑,
46', Donnellan S. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↑,
68', Johnson-Fisher D. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
74', Humphries L. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
77', Eweka T. 🟨,
83', Vokins J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Truro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Truro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Truro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Eastleigh - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.45%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Truro City - Fulham U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Truro City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWL
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
27.09.25	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Eastleigh - Southend United	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.04.13	Eastleigh - Truro City	3:1
09.04.13	Truro City - Eastleigh	1:3
25.02.12	Eastleigh - Truro City	N/A

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