Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Kingfield Stadium (Woking)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Woking		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.3
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	2.02	3.45	3.35
	2.06	3.59	3.46
	1.36	4.29	9.23	Watch
	2.02	3.42	3.44
	1.94	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.94)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	4.17 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
50.2%

Draw
26.8%

Truro City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Woking - Truro City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Woking (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 2. Drewe A. 16. Akinola O. 4. Okoli C. 3. Richards C. 14. Hinds T. 18. Turner J. 6. Andrews J. 7. Beautyman H. 10. O'Brien A. 30. Sanderson O.	1. Lavercombe D. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 6. Sanders S. 20. Law R. 8. Rooney D. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 14. Hasani L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 15. Jephcott L.
Substitutes
23. Akinola T. 25. Forster-Caskey J. 21. Kelly J. 31. Norcott T. (G) 5. Odusina T. 12. Osude J. 11. Ward M.	25. Donnellan S. 21. Kinsey M. 29. Kite H. 16. Love-Holmes T. 26. Marsh A. 17. Sanogo S. 24. Stone A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Sanderson O. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Beautyman H. ⚽,
45+1', O'Brien A. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
45+3', Hasani L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', Akinola O. 🟨,
67', Richards C. ↓, Osude J. ↑,
69', Riley-Lowe C. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Dean W. ⚽, Johnson-Fisher D. (A),
79', Turner J. ↓, Odusina T. ↑,
79', Akinola O. ↓, Forster-Caskey J. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Bell Z. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Beautyman H. (Pen),
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Woking could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Woking won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Woking won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
30.09.25	Solihull Moors - Woking	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Boreham Wood - Woking	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Woking - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Woking - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Woking - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTLW
- Truro City
English National League
30.09.25	Truro City - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Truro City - Fulham U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.02.19	Truro City - Woking	0:1
25.08.18	Woking - Truro City	3:1
21.04.12	Woking - Truro City	N/A

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