Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 16

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Truro City		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.65	3.6	5
	1.63	3.76	4.99
	1.68	3.75	4.96	Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.64	3.74	4.94
	1.65	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	4.9 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
56.1%

Draw
25.1%

Chippenham Town
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Truro City - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, McClure M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 0.

Truro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chippenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Truro to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Truro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
02.11.24	Slough Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Truro City - Tonbridge Angels	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Farnborough - Truro City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Truro City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Truro City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
02.11.24	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:4 ✺
26.10.24	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.04.24	Chippenham Town - Truro City	0:0
30.09.23	Truro City - Chippenham Town	0:2
26.01.19	Chippenham Town - Truro City	2:1
14.08.18	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:2
14.04.18	Chippenham Town - Truro City	2:0
12.09.17	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:0
English Southern Premier League
21.03.15	Chippenham Town - Truro City	1:2

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