Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Truro City		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3.24	3.57
	2.12	3.26	3.5	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.48
	2.05	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.86)	3.23 ↓ (3.46)	3.47 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
44.8%

Draw
28.5%

Tonbridge Angels
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.7%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Truro City - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Harvey T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Lema C. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Truro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tonbridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Truro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
22.10.24	Farnborough - Truro City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Truro City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Truro City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Aveley - Truro City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Truro City - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWL
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
22.10.24	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Cray Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
English National League South
05.10.24	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.03.24	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	2:1
28.10.23	Truro City - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
27.04.13	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	3:2
17.03.12	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	N/A

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