Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Truro City		Southend United

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.62
	5	3.8	1.53
	4.95	3.85	1.62
	5.29	3.94	1.64
	4.73	3.57	1.71	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.57
	4.66	3.88	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (3.83)	3.8 ↑ (3.63)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
18.7%

Draw
24.4%

Southend United
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southend United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Truro City - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Southend (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavercombe D. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. (C) 7. En-Neyah Y. 14. Hasani L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 20. Law R. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 19. Pyke R. 8. Rooney D. 6. Sanders S.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 10. Austin S. 33. Boyes H. 28. Coker O. 9. Dallas A. 6. Goodliffe B. 15. Gubbins J. 14. Hopper T. 8. Husin N. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. (C)
Substitutes
9. Harvey T. 15. Jephcott L. 16. Love-Holmes T. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 23. Starkie B. 24. Stone A. (G) 18. Taylor J.	22. Appiah-Forson K. 7. Bridge J. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 1. Hayes N. (G) 24. Kendall C. 23. Morton 29. Spasov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Bell Z. 🟨,
41', En-Neyah Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Johnson-Fisher D. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Austin S. ⚽, Scott-Morriss G. (A),
66', Husin N. ↓, Morton ↑,
67', Hopper T. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
67', Coker O. ↓, Chambers-Parillon L. ↑,
68', Hasani L. ↓, Harvey T. ↑,
68', Pyke R. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
68', Bell Z. ↓, Love-Holmes T. ↑,
74', Johnson-Fisher D. ↓, Starkie B. ↑,
79', Rooney D. 🟨,
80', Dallas A. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
82', En-Neyah Y. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
86', Austin S. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
89', Harvey T. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Southend is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.7%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
19.08.25	Tamworth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Truro City - York City	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Truro City - Southampton U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Wealdstone - Truro City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Truro City - Falmouth Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Southend United
English National League
20.08.25	Southend United - York City	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Gateshead - Southend United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Southend United - Charlton Athletic	0:3 ✺
29.07.25	Slough Town - Southend United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLT

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