Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Truro City		Walton Casuals

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.9
	1.72	3.35	3.95
	1.72	3.55	4
	1.78	3.69	4.31
	1.73	3.75	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	4.08 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
52.4%

Draw
25.3%

Walton Casuals
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.

Walton Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton Casuals than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Truro City - Walton Casuals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 11).

Truro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Walton Casuals is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Walton Casuals could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Truro have a series of home games.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Truro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
06.04.22	Truro City - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	0:1 ✺
30.03.22	Truro City - Merthyr Town	3:1 ✺
26.03.22	Truro City - Kings Langley	0:0 ✺
23.03.22	Truro City - Yate Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTT
- Walton Casuals
English Southern League South Division
05.04.22	Walton Casuals - Yate Town	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	Walton Casuals - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Hartley Wintney - Walton Casuals	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Walton Casuals - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Walton Casuals	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.08.21	Walton Casuals - Truro City	1:1
07.12.19	Truro City - Walton Casuals	5:1

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