Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 19

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Truro City		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.31	3.27
	2.13	3.28	3.54
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.1	3.22	3.43
	2.08	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.28 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
43.6%

Draw
28.4%

Taunton Town
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Truro City - Taunton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Truro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Taunton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Taunton have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Truro won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
27.02.24	Welling United - Truro City	3:2 ✺
20.02.24	Bath City - Truro City	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Farnborough - Truro City	3:2 ✺
06.02.24	Taunton Town - Truro City	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Taunton Town
English National League South
24.02.24	Dartford - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	St Albans City - Taunton Town	6:0 ✺
06.02.24	Taunton Town - Truro City	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Welling United - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Taunton Town - Aveley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.02.24	Taunton Town - Truro City	0:0
English Southern League South Division
06.04.22	Truro City - Taunton Town	1:0
30.08.21	Taunton Town - Truro City	2:1
English FA Trophy
03.11.20	Taunton Town - Truro City	2:4
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Taunton Town - Truro City	4:2
English Southern League South Division
29.09.20	Truro City - Taunton Town	1:1
07.03.20	Truro City - Taunton Town	1:1

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