The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Truro City 52.1%
Draw 24.3%
Merthyr Town 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.8%
23.9%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
24.7%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Truro City - Merthyr Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Truro City will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Replay (first match was draw).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Truro won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Truro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Truro is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Truro has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Truro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).
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