Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	TuS Koblenz		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.33	1.55
	4.75	4.33	1.57
	4.63	4.55	1.59
	4.63	4.55	1.59
	4.54	4.46	1.57
	4.4	4.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.85)	4.45 ↑ (3.83)	1.57 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuS Koblenz
20.4%

Draw
20.7%

Mainz II
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.8%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuS Koblenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuS Koblenz than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

TuS Koblenz - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Derstroff J. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Sabani B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Schmidt D. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Koblenz is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Koblenz won 1.

Koblenz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mainz II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mainz II is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Koblenz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Koblenz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Koblenz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.05.24	Hessen Kassel - TuS Koblenz	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	TuS Koblenz - Balingen	2:5 ✺
27.04.24	TuS Koblenz - Kickers Offenbach	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Homburg - TuS Koblenz	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	TuS Koblenz - Freiberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.05.24	Mainz II - Kickers Offenbach	3:0 ✺
05.05.24	Homburg - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Mainz II - Freiberg	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Astoria Walldorf - Mainz II	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
11.11.23	Mainz II - TuS Koblenz	2:1
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Mainz II - TuS Koblenz	Canceled
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.12.17	Mainz II - TuS Koblenz	1:3
18.08.17	TuS Koblenz - Mainz II	1:1
17.05.14	Mainz II - TuS Koblenz	2:0
08.11.13	TuS Koblenz - Mainz II	0:0
20.04.13	Mainz II - TuS Koblenz	1:0

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