Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tucumán Central (Tucuman)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Tucuman Central		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	4.05
	1.93	3.08	4.44	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.81	3.02	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3 ↑ (2.99)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucuman Central
48.4%

Draw
30.3%

Defensores de Vilelas
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

25.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucuman Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Defensores de Vilelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tucuman Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Tucuman Central - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Ledesma L. (G)
	7. Acevedo M.
	2. Berlo B.
	8. Canete G.
	6. Farias F.
	4. Fernandez F.
	3. Molina J.
	11. Montenegro R.
	10. Niz L.
	5. Remotti L.
	9. Rios G. (C)
Substitutes
	17. Acevedo J.
	18. Canario J.
	19. Carballo G.
	12. Ferreyra M. (G)
	15. Lallana F.
	14. Navarro L.
	20. Ojeda G.
	16. Turraca J.
	13. Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Ruiz Rodriguez B. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Smith F. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Def de Vilelas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tucuman Central is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tucuman Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tucuman Central - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Tucuman Central	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - General San Martín de Formosa	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Bartolomé Mitre	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Juventud Antoniana	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.03.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	1:0

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