Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Tucuman Central

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.90	4.33
	1.82	2.92	4.4
	1.81	2.91	4.37
	1.84	3.13	4.48	Watch
	1.77	2.7	4
	1.82	3.04	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.68)	2.93 ↓ (3.18)	4.35 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
49.1%

Draw
30.4%

Tucuman Central
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

28.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Tucuman Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acuna D. (G) 8. Almiron C. 3. Derewicki J. 2. Dominguez F. 11. Genaro M. 6. Gimenez C. 9. Ibanez M. 10. Maidana C. 5. Martinez P. 7. Pared M. 4. Ulibarri G.	1. Tonini N. (G) 5. Abregu C. 11. Collante B. 9. Delgado T. 2. Duarte N. 6. Herrera L. 3. Martinez M. 10. Montenegro V. 4. Palomino R. 7. Smith F. 8. Suarez L.
Substitutes
18. Alarcon G. 14. Barlessi L. 16. Di Buo I. 19. Duarte D. 13. Franco N. 20. Genolet L. 12. Gonzales M. 17. Molina J. 15. Moreyra P.	18. Abregu R. 15. Arganaraz S. 12. Garcia T. (G) 16. Krupoviesa M. 13. Perez Y. 14. Romero K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Martinez P. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Tucuman Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sarmiento is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Escobar	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLL
- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.08.26	Tucuman Central - Boca Unidos	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Tucuman Central	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Tucuman Central - Atlético Escobar	2:3 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Tucuman Central - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central	1:0
25.04.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide