Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Gernika		Ebro

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.72	3.3
	2.41	2.77	3.39
	2.34	2.96	3.05	Watch
	2.3	2.72	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	2.79 ↓ (2.96)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
39.3%

Draw
32.8%

Ebro
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Gernika - Ebro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Gernika is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ebro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gernika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ebro has had a series of home games.

Gernika is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gernika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gernika - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Gernika - Ejea	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Alavés B - Gernika	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Gernika - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 TWWWT
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.11.25	Ebro - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ebro - Tarazona	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Sestao - Ebro	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ebro - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.04.16	Ebro - Gernika	2:0
15.11.15	Gernika - Ebro	0:0

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