The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tudelano 38%
Draw 30.7%
Talavera de la Reina 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
28.3%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
20.5%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tudelano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tudelano - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Tudelano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Talavera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Talavera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.