Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Talavera de la Reina		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.9
	2.42	2.98	2.98
	2.48	3.02	3.04
	2.27	3.01	3.28	Watch
	2.43	2.85	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.27)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
38.5%

Draw
31.2%

Unionistas de Salamanca
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

32.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 23. Farrando M. 5. Molina S. 3. Roig A. 19. Gomez V. 8. Sanchez L. 6. Pitu (C) 18. Capo P. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M.	1. Marino U. (G) 20. Encuentra J. 5. Farru 3. Gorjon A. 2. Olmedo V. 8. Lopez J. 6. Juanje 24. Abde 11. Gomez A. (C) 23. Pinan A. 15. Valles G.
Substitutes
15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 2. Cuenca D. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 4. Lopez A. 14. Molina A. 16. Navarro I. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 32. Torres A. (G)	9. Alex Pachon 18. de Bustos H. 10. de la Nava C. 22. Lendinez J. 21. Marco P. 7. Moreno I. 14. Roldan L. 12. Santiago A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Talavera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unionistas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Talavera has had a series of away games.

Talavera could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Talavera de la Reina - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.88%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	4:3 ✺
02.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWT
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tenerife - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
19.11.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
06.02.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	4:1
17.10.21	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
Club Friendly
22.08.21	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0

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