Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: ONEOK Field (Tulsa, OK)

Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tulsa		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.65	3.3	2.48
	2.69	3.43	2.49	Watch
	2.66	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.32)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	2.44 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
34.4%

Draw
27.7%

North Carolina
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Carolina's recent form is better than expected.

Tulsa - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Penaranda J. (G) 15. Batista L. 9. Calheira T. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 26. Colli G. 2. Damm O. 6. Diallo B. 10. Elmedkhar K. 14. Rogers A. 47. St.Clair H. 19. Stojanovic S.	1. McGuire J. (G) 19. Al Qaq A. 42. Armstrong E. 7. Conway E. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. (C) 17. Martin C. 14. Rafa Mentzingen 44. Sommersall R. 27. Washington B.
Substitutes
77. Bettache F. 31. Dowd B. (G) 17. Laszo E. 22. Lukic S. 5. Marcos Serrato 4. Pierre D. 20. Seagrist P.	55. Hodge T. 26. Luckhurst A. 15. Maldonado M. 4. Malou J. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L.
Coaches
Spencer L.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stojanovic S. ↓, Bettache F. ↑,
53', Diallo B. 🟨,
57', Martin C. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
57', Al Qaq A. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
57', Armstrong E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
64', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
64', Diallo B. ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
80', St.Clair H. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
81', Washington B. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽,
88', Da Costa R. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
90+2', Sommersall R. 🟨,

Preview

North Carolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

North Carolina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
US Open Cup
18.03.25	Tulsa Athletic - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
15.03.25	Tulsa - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWWWL
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
15.03.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Louisville City - North Carolina	3:2 ✺
26.10.24	North Carolina - Las Vegas Lights	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.10.24	North Carolina - Tulsa	2:0

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