The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 62.1%
Draw 21.9%
North Carolina 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
22.7%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
21.4%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Louisville City - North Carolina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Las D. (G) 9. Goodrum P. 7. Serrano R. 4. Totsch S. 2. McFadden A. 25. Wilson J. 24. Jones J. 17. Davila T. 13. Dia A. 32. Adams K. (C) 31. Lambert K.
24. Mulqueen T. (G) 14. Rafa Mentzingen 5. Craig P. (C) 20. Donovan C. 66. Sundstrom F. 11. Burner P. 8. Pedro Becker 7. Conway E. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. 9. Anderson O.
Substitutes
27. Davila E. 83. Dayes B. 12. Faundez D. (G) 23. Gleadle S. 53. Lancaster C. 11. McCabe N. 8. Moguel C. 5. Ordonez A. 80. Stamps H.
19. Al Qaq A. 25. Fitzgerald A. (G) 55. Hodge T. 26. Luckhurst A. 1. McGuire J. (G) 71. Quintanilla J. 10. Servania J.
Coaches
Cruz D.
Bradford J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lambert K. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽,
32', McFadden A. 🟨,
38', Maldonado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Totsch S. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
47', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
62', 3 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
69', Adams K. 🟨,
69', Pedro Becker 🟨,
76', Burner P. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
76', Craig P. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
81', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
81', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
82', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
86', Anderson O. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Davila E. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
89', McFadden A. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
90', Serrano R. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
North Carolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
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Las D. (G) 
Adams K. (C) 
Lambert K. 
Rafa Mentzingen 
Craig P. (C) 
Burner P. 
Perez L. 
Anderson O. 
McCabe N. 
Ordonez A. 
Fitzgerald A. (G) 
Hodge T. 
Servania J. 
