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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rowdies 43.5%
Draw 26.6%
North Carolina 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
27.2%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
26.1%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Hamid B. (G) 19. Mendez A. 3. Lasso F. 33. Guillen A. (C) 15. Azocar J. 27. Wyke L. 17. Crisostomo D. 11. Bodily B. 5. Marie P. 28. Pacius W. 9. Arteaga M.
22. Semmle O. (G) 10. Servania J. 27. Washington B. 20. Donovan C. (C) 66. Sundstrom F. 11. Burner P. 6. Roberts T. 13. Perez L. 44. Sommersall R. 8. Pedro Becker 7. Conway E.
Substitutes
47. Alvarez L. 41. Bandre E. (G) 2. Castellanos R. 36. Rodriguez A. 25. Sharp C. 26. Skinner J. 14. Vancaeyezeele T.
9. Anderson O. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 23. Forbes J. 55. Hodge T. 15. Maldonado M. 1. McGuire J. (G)
Coaches
Casciato D.
Bradford J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Conway E. ⚽,
29', Roberts T. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
40', Sommersall R. 🟨,
44', Arteaga M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Mendez A. 🟨,
62', Marie P. 🟨,
77', Servania J. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
77', Perez L. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽,
85', Pedro Becker ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
86', Arteaga M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
86', Marie P. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
87', Alvarez L. 🟨,
90', Mendez A. ↓, Vancaeyezeele T. ↑,
90+4', Pacius W. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Sommersall R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Rowdies - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Hamid B. (G) 
Guillen A. (C) 
Azocar J. 
Wyke L. 
Marie P. 
Pacius W. 
Semmle O. (G) 
Servania J. 
Burner P. 
Sommersall R. 
Pedro Becker 
Alvarez L. 
Vancaeyezeele T. 
Anderson O. 
Hodge T. 
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