The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Carolina 35.7%
Draw 27.7%
Loudoun United 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
27.2%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.3%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3%)
North Carolina - Loudoun United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Semmle O. (G) 11. Burner P. 27. Washington B. 20. Donovan C. (C) 66. Sundstrom F. 6. Roberts T. 44. Sommersall R. 15. Maldonado M. 19. Al Qaq A. 8. Pedro Becker 9. Anderson O.
30. Jack R. (G) 3. Tingey K. 16. Turner C. 21. Akinyode B. 6. Awuah K. 26. Glasgow O. 12. Skundrich D. (C) 4. McCabe T. 10. Valot F. 11. Aboukoura A. 15. Bidois R.
Substitutes
5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 23. Forbes J. 55. Hodge T. 1. McGuire J. (G) 13. Perez L. 71. Quintanilla J. 10. Servania J.
22. Dambrot R. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 20. Mines B. 13. Nagy A. 8. Nyeman M. 9. Ordonez A. 14. Ryan Z. 17. Santos P.
Coaches
Bradford J.
Martin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Anderson O. ⚽, Al Qaq A. (A),
10', Turner C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Washington B. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
67', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
70', Al Qaq A. 🟨,
72', Al Qaq A. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
74', Aboukoura A. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
74', Turner C. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
74', Akinyode B. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
82', Glasgow O. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
82', Awuah K. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
90', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
90+1', Burner P. 🟨,
90+2', Anderson O. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
North Carolina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Loudoun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).