Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 15

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday


	Turkistan		Ulytau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.3
	7.46	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.48 ↑ (3.25)	4.42 ↑ (3.2)	1.33 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turkistan
12%

Draw
20.3%

Ulytau
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.4%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turkistan's form might have worsened.

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulytau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turkistan than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turkistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulytau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kuryan S. (G) 55. Abdilhai B. 8. Abzhal S. 3. Batyrkhanov S. 47. Dyusembekov D. 21. Erzhigit Z. 77. Mutali N. 9. Nurzhumaev D. 6. Primberdiev S. 11. Sabirzhanov K. 87. Umarov I.	35. Pavlov S. (G) 4. Chalkin M. 19. Erden A. 11. Fluk S. 3. Gunchenko V. 20. Krasotin A. 7. Kuanyshbay D. 27. Mamirbaev N. 13. Sapanov M. 77. Sarsenbay E. 9. Taubay A.
Substitutes
28. Amanbay A. 20. Bazarbay B. 14. Kaldybay Z. 13. Melsuly 19. Oksikbayev A. 2. Omirbek B. 10. Pachchakhanov D. 1. Povyshev A. (G) 16. Seydakhmet A. (G) 33. Taubay I. 17. Zhaksylyk E.	10. Anuarbekov N. 2. Aslan R. 31. Dilmurat M. 6. Ermekuulu A. 8. Kalymbetov A. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 12. Nursultanov K. 22. Rzataev B. 21. Shauymbay M. 1. Smailov Y. 91. Zhangaliev Z. (G) 15. Zhumagali S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Sapanov M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turkistan
Kazakh First League
04.07.24	Turkistan - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Turkistan	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	SD Family - Turkistan	5:0 ✺
06.06.24	Turkistan - Akzhayik	1:1 ✺
30.05.24	Kairat 2 - Turkistan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh First League
04.07.24	Ulytau - Altai Semey	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Arys - Ulytau	1:4 ✺
21.06.24	Ulytau - Khan Tengri	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Aktobe 2 - Ulytau	0:3 ✺
06.06.24	Ulytau - Kaisar 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

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