Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)

Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ulytau		Altai Semey

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.00	2.70
	2.23	3.00	2.80	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.89
	2.05	3.32	3.35	Watch
	2.60	2.70	2.85
	2.55	3.22	2.73
	2.43	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.31)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ulytau
38.1%

Draw
29.9%

Altai Semey
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Ulytau - Altai Semey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 28. Bugulov G. (C) 69. Maulenov D. 12. Afanasenko V. 90. Martin D. 18. Bougnone A. 8. Vachiberadze B. 14. Harada H. 22. Chernyak I. 45. Zulfikarov B.	25. Kucher D. (G) 4. Micevic N. 3. Odeoyibo S. 88. Ivanov S. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 9. Gorshunov E. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 98. Podstrelov D. 45. Dodev D. 70. Mitrofanov D. 99. Stoisavljevic D.
Substitutes
88. Abdilda I. 13. Akhmedov A. 25. Bukhal G. 17. Daniyarov B. 7. Kishi K. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 9. Serikkul R. 77. Shauymbay M. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)	22. Dzhanuzakov A. 19. Gultyaev Z. 21. Jambor N. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 17. Kukeev Z. 29. Lobzhanidze E. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O.
Coaches
Mazbaev N.	Masudov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 1, Dodev D. ⚽, Stoisavljevic D. (A),
65', Harada H. ↓, Kishi K. ↑,
66', Bougnone A. 🟨,
68', Gorshunov E. 🟨,
69', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Popov S. ⚽, Dodev D. (A),
75', Chernyak I. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
75', Martin D. ↓, Akhmedov A. ↑,
76', Afanasenko V. 🟨,
79', Dodev D. ↓, Lobzhanidze E. ↑,
79', Mitrofanov D. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
82', Gorshunov E. ↓, Dzhanuzakov A. ↑,
84', Maulenov D. 🟨,
87', Maulenov D. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
87', Bougnone A. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Popov S. ⚽, Lobzhanidze E. (A),
90+4', Ivanov S. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Ulytau could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ulytau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
06.09.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ulytau - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLTL
- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
06.09.26	Altai Semey - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Ordabasy - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
30.04.26	Altai Semey - Ulytau	4:3 ET
Kazakh Premier League
12.04.26	Altai Semey - Ulytau	1:2
Kazakh First League
22.08.24	Altai Semey - Ulytau	0:4
04.07.24	Ulytau - Altai Semey	2:1

Upcoming Matches