Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Turris		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	5	Watch
	1.4	4.3	6
	1.47	4	5.2
	1.4	4.12	5.84
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.42	4.6	6.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	4.17 ↑ (4.13)	5.68 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turris
62.5%

Draw
21.6%

Paganese
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turris than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Turris - Paganese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Turris will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Paganese will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turris: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Recent matches Turris is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Turris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Turris is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Turris won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.22	ACR Messina - Turris	1:2 ✺
13.04.22	Turris - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Turris - Potenza	0:2 ✺
07.04.22	Campobasso - Turris	3:3 ✺
04.04.22	Avellino - Turris	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTL
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.22	Paganese - Picerno	2:3 ✺
10.04.22	Juve Stabia - Paganese	4:0 ✺
02.04.22	Paganese - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
27.03.22	Paganese - Palermo	2:2 ✺
23.03.22	Potenza - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.21	Paganese - Turris	1:1
21.02.21	Paganese - Turris	2:0
25.10.20	Turris - Paganese	0:3

Turris - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide