Match Info
Premier League - Round 28Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday
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Tusker |
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Sofapaka |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.05 |
5.15 |
|
 |
1.68 |
3.09 |
5.22 |
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 |
1.73 |
2.99 |
5.57 |
 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
2.9 |
5 |
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1.64 |
3.1 |
5.98 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.73) |
3.03 ↑
(2.96) |
5.38 ↓
(5.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tusker
53.5% | Draw
29.8% | Sofapaka
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tusker that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Tusker - Sofapaka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 4.In recent matches, Tusker has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sofapaka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Tusker is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 1.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 14.12.25 | Sofapaka - Tusker | 0:2 | | 18.05.25 | Sofapaka - Tusker | 7:1 | | 24.08.24 | Tusker - Sofapaka | 1:0 | | 14.01.24 | Tusker - Sofapaka | 3:1 | | 28.10.23 | Sofapaka - Tusker | 0:1 | | 09.04.23 | Tusker - Sofapaka | 2:0 | | 22.01.23 | Sofapaka - Tusker | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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