Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Tuzos UAZ		Tigres de Álica

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.25	2.82
	2.31	3.13	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.51)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	2.85 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzos UAZ
39.6%

Draw
28.5%

Tigres de Álica
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzos UAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Tigres de Álica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigres de Álica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzos UAZ than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Tuzos UAZ - Tigres de Álica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres de Álica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, ⚽,
42', 0 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8).

UAZ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tigres de Álica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UAZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, UAZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Tuzos UAZ - Zapotlanejo	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
10.10.25	Tecos FC - Tuzos UAZ	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - La Piedad	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tigres de Álica	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Ensenada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.01.25	Tuzos UAZ - Tigres de Álica	3:2
21.09.24	Tigres de Álica - Tuzos UAZ	3:0

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