Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Tuzos UAZ		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.75	1.99
	3.16	3.78	1.97
	3.3	3.3	1.95
	3.47	3.64	1.86
	4.1	3.7	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.9)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzos UAZ
26.7%

Draw
25.1%

Tritones Vallarta
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.8%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

23.4%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzos UAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tritones Vallarta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzos UAZ than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tritones Vallarta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAZ won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tritones Vallarta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, UAZ has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tritones Vallarta is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, UAZ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, UAZ won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.03.26	Los Cabos United - Tuzos UAZ	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	La Piedad - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Tuzos UAZ - Guerreros de Autlán	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Colima - Tuzos UAZ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Tritones Vallarta - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tritones Vallarta - Ensenada	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Zapotlanejo - Tritones Vallarta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	2:0
01.02.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	0:2
28.09.24	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	3:0
06.03.24	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	0:0
05.10.23	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	2:1
21.01.23	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	1:0
07.09.22	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	1:2

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