The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 18.9%
Draw 21.4%
Twente 59.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.2%
20.9%
60.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
20.3%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Excelsior - Twente Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
Excelsior has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Twente shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Excelsior may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Twente carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:20 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Excelsior against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 0.6:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Twente
10
6
2
2
19:10
9
20
13
Excelsior
10
3
2
5
16:19
-3
11
Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now
Twente: 3.04% Excelsior: 0.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Twente - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.94%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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