Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	NEC Nijmegen		Twente

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.8	2.6	Watch
	2.48	3.55	2.72
	2.54	3.75	2.69
	2.60	4.06	2.31	Watch
	2.43	3.68	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	3.77 ↑ (3.77)	2.62 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
38.2%

Draw
25.4%

Twente
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

NEC Nijmegen - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nijmegen (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 4. Kaplan A. 5. Ouwejan T. 6. Nejasmic D. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 10. Chery T. (C) 7. Misidjan V. 18. Ogawa K. 30. Linssen B.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 7. Pjaca M. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R.
Substitutes
22. Cillessen J. (G) 35. de Laat S. 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 21. Gonzalez R. 20. Lebreton N. 11. Onal B. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 33. Sbai Y. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V.	8. Booth T. 21. Karssies S. (G) 5. Kuipers B. 10. Lammers S. 23. Lemkin S. 12. Peixoto G. 11. Rots D. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Kaplan A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
29', 1 - 1, Ouwejan T. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Rots M. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
60', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
63', van den Belt T. 🟨,
64', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
64', Misidjan V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
71', Propper R. 🟨,
71', van den Belt T. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
71', Pjaca M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
77', Rots M. ↓, Booth T. ↑,
77', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Verschueren A. (Own goal),
83', Onal B. 🟨,
88', Ouwejan T. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
88', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
88', Hlynsson K. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.

Recent form of Nijmegen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Sandler P. (Red Card) Willems J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Bruns M. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury) Rots D. (Head Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
05.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
31.08.25	Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
05.10.25	Twente - Heracles Almelo	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Twente - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Excelsior - Twente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.05.25	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ET
23.02.25	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	2:0
10.08.24	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	1:2
20.01.24	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	1:0
11.11.23	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	3:3
12.05.23	Twente - NEC Nijmegen	4:0
07.08.22	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	0:1

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