Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Txantrea		Artajonés

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.55	3.85	4.85
	1.5	4.41	5.25
	1.7	3.7	4.38	Watch
	1.59	4.13	5.03
	1.75	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)	3.89 ↑ (3.65)	4.61 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
56.5%

Draw
23.6%

Artajonés
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

22.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Artajonés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Txantrea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artajonés than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Txantrea - Artajonés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Txantrea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Artajonés has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Txantrea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Txantrea is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Txantrea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Last Results with these Odds

Txantrea - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.03.26	Beti Onak - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Subiza - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Txantrea - San Juan	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Txantrea - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ardoi - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWT
- CA Artajonés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.03.26	Artajonés - Aoiz	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Artajonés - Pamplona	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Cirbonero - Artajonés	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Artajonés - Subiza	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	San Juan - Artajonés	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.11.25	Artajonés - Txantrea	3:4
05.04.25	Txantrea - Artajonés	3:1

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