The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tyumen 34%
Draw 29%
Sibir Novosibirsk 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
27.7%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
26.5%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1%)
Tyumen - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Yanovich N. (G) 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 88. Bolov R. 27. Chudin I. 9. Kamlashev D. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 8. Pyatkin I. 90. Shakuro P. 17. Shitov V. 97. Talikin D.
13. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 49. Karaev M. 39. Kobyalko A. 23. Krotov A. 5. Maksimenkov I. 21. Makurin A. 7. Pokotylo D. 4. Redkovich D. 54. Shmakov I. 36. Voropaev A. 10. Yakovlev D.
Substitutes
99. Abakumov M. 11. Babaev V. 72. Bem A. 45. Boyarskikh K. 6. Chemakin K. 63. Dudarin K. 95. Edapin M. (G) 47. Frolov Y. 24. Grinwald V. 2. Konstantin L. 89. Lutsev A. 10. Mokaev I.
9. Bilalov B. 31. Grigorjev D. 69. Ivanov A. 35. Kiselev M. (G) 99. Kozachenko O. 25. Kravtsov V. 3. Petrunin D. 92. Skvortsov A. 91. Stepanov A. 19. Zapalatskiy S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Bolov R. ⚽,
28', Maksimenkov I. ↓, Petrunin D. ↑,
32', Voropaev A. 🟨,
34', Pokotylo D. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Krotov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Kamlashev D. 🟨,
59', Talikin D. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
59', Kamlashev D. ↓, Bem A. ↑,
61', Maryanov A. ↓, Boyarskikh K. ↑,
73', Bolov R. ↓, Frolov Y. ↑,
73', Kobyalko A. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
73', Krotov A. ↓, Ivanov A. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Bezchasnyuk A. ⚽,
90', Pokotylo D. ↓, Skvortsov A. ↑,
90', Yakovlev D. ↓, Kozachenko O. ↑,
90+3', Yanovich N. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 2.
Recent form of Tyumen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Sibir has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tyumen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
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Yanovich N. (G) 
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