Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 15

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo)


	Veles Moscow		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.6	Watch
	2	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.98)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	3.5 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
43.7%

Draw
30.5%

Tyumen
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Veles Moscow - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitsaev R. (G) 10. Geloyan I. 5. Koloskov A. 17. Kotov P. 88. Kovalkov M. 80. Rybalko M. 97. Shubin A. 77. Smirnov O. 20. Sysoev E. 8. Tarasenko Z. 22. Zavezen Y. (C)	66. Yanovich N. (G) 11. Babaev V. 72. Bem A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 19. Bykovskiy A. 27. Chudin I. (C) 13. Petrov M. 8. Pyatkin I. 90. Shakuro P. 17. Shitov V. 23. Zuykov S.
Substitutes
24. Biryukov D. 40. Burkin D. 90. Galkin V. 9. Giraev K. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 14. Lapinsky S. 4. Maklakov I. 92. Popov P. 23. Skvortsov K.	99. Abakumov M. 45. Boyarskikh K. 63. Dudarin K. 95. Edapin M. (G) 47. Frolov Y. 9. Kamlashev D. 89. Lutsev A. 10. Mokaev I. 97. Talikin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Koloskov A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Shitov V. ⚽,
40', Bykovskiy A. ↓, Boyarskikh K. ↑,
40', Zuykov S. ↓, Talikin D. ↑,
40', Babaev V. ↓, Kamlashev D. ↑,
45', Shitov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sysoev E. ↓, Lapinsky S. ↑,
54', Kovalkov M. ↓, Burkin D. ↑,
58', Rybalko M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Kotov P. (Pen),
70', 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Shubin A. ⚽,
89', Talikin D. 🟨,
90+3', Galkin V. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Veles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Veles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Veles won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
19.10.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow	0:4 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Veles Moscow	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
11.10.25	Veles Moscow - Dynamo Kirov	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Veles Moscow - Leningradets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
19.10.25	Tyumen - Dynamo 2 Moscow	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Dynamo Kirov - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tyumen - Volgar Astrakhan	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Leningradets - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.08.25	Tyumen - Veles Moscow	2:3

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