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Current Win Probability
Tyumen 32%
Draw 29.1%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
28.2%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
26.3%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyumen's performance.
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chernomorets Novorossiysk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyumen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 30. Shavlokhov D.
1. Frolkin D. (G) 13. Akbashev R. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 44. Chichinadze A. 6. Fishchenko R. 17. Fomin D. 57. Krotov V. 3. Musalov M. 23. Nikiforov N. 5. Stezhko V. 9. Uridia M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 90. Mokaev I. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
7. Antonov A. 2. Cherov V. 27. Gurchenko D. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 22. Rebrov D. (G) 19. Tegues D.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.
Vasilenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
1', 0 - 1, Uridia M. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Nikiforov N. ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, Kenfak O. ⚽,
32', 1 - 3, Nikiforov N. ⚽,
36', 1 - 4, Akbashev R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Khramtsov M. ↓, Voropaev A. ↑,
46', Maryanov A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
46', Kulishev A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
54', Nikiforov N. 🟨,
57', Fomin D. 🟨,
63', Nikiforov N. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
63', Krotov V. ↓, Cherov V. ↑,
77', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
83', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
83', Uridia M. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
90+2', Petrov M. 🟨,
90+2', Musalov M. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Recent matches Tyumen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chernomorets is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chernomorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Watch
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Goshev E. (G) 
Kenfak O. 
Chichinadze A. 
Kumburovic N. 
Tegues D. 
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