Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 15

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Golovko B. (Rus)


	Tyumen		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.41	3.26	1.98
	4.13	3.34	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.42)	3.3 ↓ (3.46)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tyumen
22.3%

Draw
28.8%

Torpedo Moscow
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26.5%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tyumen will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 10. Savinov A. 30. Shavlokhov D.	51. Botnar V. (G) 4. Borodin S. 97. Curic M. 15. Danilkin E. 22. Galkin V. 17. Gorbunov I. 2. Koledin Y. 9. Maksimov M. 69. Manelov I. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 90. Roganovic B.
Substitutes
16. Ergardt V. (G) 2. Kalugin N. 20. Kenfak O. 17. Kosarev K. 9. Kuptsov D. 90. Mokaev I. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	12. Baburin E. (G) 19. Baytukov R. 20. Camara M. H. 89. Chervyakov R. 38. Chupayov A. 7. Koryan A. 87. Kostin A. 25. Kuzmichev I. 27. Orekhov A. 77. Shitov V. 18. Sokolov A. 74. Volkov M. (G)
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Kononov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Maksimov M. ⚽,
37', Maryanov A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Manelov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Galkin V. ↓, Camara M. H. ↑,
55', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
60', Kulishev A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
61', Maryanov A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
61', Savinov A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
63', Gorbunov I. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
63', Maksimov M. ↓, Chupayov A. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Koryan A. ⚽,
71', Klenkin D. ↓, Petukhov I. ↑,
71', Korotaev A. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
78', Manelov I. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
84', Roganovic B. ↓, Baytukov R. ↑,
90', Camara M. H. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Torpedo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
12.10.24	Ural - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Tyumen - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Torpedo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:4 ✺
Russian FNL
12.10.24	Torpedo Moscow - Sokol Saratov	5:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - Tyumen	0:0
09.10.23	Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow	0:0

Upcoming Matches