Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 17

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.22	3.65
	2.13	3.24	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	3.57 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
44.1%

Draw
29.3%

Tyumen
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chayka Peschanokopskoye's form might have worsened.

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tyumen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chayka Peschanokopskoye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Shtepa M. (G) 17. Bammatgereev M. 99. Evdokimov A. 4. Ibragimov K. 7. Khokhlachev A. (C) 90. Malyarov N. 2. Pelikh D. 19. Rudenko V. 23. Uzhgin M. 13. Yanov D. 77. Zarypbekov E.	97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 2. Kalugin N. 11. Karpov D. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 90. Mokaev I. 30. Shavlokhov D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Substitutes
8. Arbuzov Y. 78. Chernyakov D. 84. Ivashin A. 44. Karmaev N. 98. Khodanovich A. (G) 89. Kotov D. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Levin M. 63. Nesterov A. 18. Nikolaev O. 32. Pivovarov D.	20. Kenfak O. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D.
Coaches
Kaleshin E.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Yanov D. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Khokhlachev A. ⚽,
33', Klenkin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kulishev A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
46', Ibragimov K. ↓, Nesterov A. ↑,
47', Mokaev I. ↓, Maryanov A. ↑,
57', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
57', Klenkin D. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
63', Karpov D. 🟨,
69', Tkachuk D. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
70', Bammatgereev M. 🟨,
73', Uzhgin M. ↓, Nikolaev O. ↑,
73', Malyarov N. ↓, Chernyakov D. ↑,
74', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Levin M. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Khokhlachev A. ⚽,
88', Yanov D. ↓, Kozachenko O. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Peschanokopskoye could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.

Peschanokopskoye will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian Cup
30.10.24	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
21.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
17.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Znamya Truda	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
13.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWT
- FC Tyumen
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.24	Tyumen - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:1 ✺
21.10.24	Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
12.10.24	Ural - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches