Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 15

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Tzeirey Tamra		Hapoel Karmiel

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.8	1.6
	4.97	3.89	1.58	Watch
	5.18	3.74	1.56
	5	3.8	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4)	3.81 ↑ (3.55)	1.57 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirey Tamra
18.5%

Draw
23.8%

Hapoel Karmiel
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

25.7%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirey Tamra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Hapoel Karmiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Karmiel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirey Tamra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tzeirey Tamra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Karmiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Karmiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tzeirey Tamra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hapoel Karmiel will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Karmiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Turgeman O. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Hassan M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Pokra M. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Tzeirey Tamra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Karmiel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hapoel Karmiel is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hapoel Karmiel	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
9	Tzeirey Tamra	6	2	0	4	7:15	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tzeirey Tamra
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Tzeirey Tamra	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tamra	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:5 ✺
12.12.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Tzeirey Tamra	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Karmiel	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Karmiel	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.12.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Karmiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL

Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Karmiel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide