Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	UAI Urquiza		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.09	2.88	3.68
	2.08	2.92	3.76	Watch
	2	3	3.6
	2.08	3.02	3.75
	2.1	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.82)	3 ↓ (3.2)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UAI Urquiza
44.3%

Draw
30.5%

Cañuelas
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UAI Urquiza's form might have worsened.

Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Quinteros E. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Alaniz M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 22).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UAI Urquiza won 2.

Recent matches UAI Urquiza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cañuelas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cañuelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

UAI Urquiza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams UAI Urquiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
24.08.24	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
19.08.24	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Acassuso - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	UAI Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWTW
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
02.09.24	Cañuelas - Colegiales	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Cañuelas	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Cañuelas - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Villa San Carlos - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Italiano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
20.04.24	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	0:2
23.09.23	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	2:1
21.05.23	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	2:0
01.10.22	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	0:1
04.06.22	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	2:1
28.11.21	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	1:2
07.08.21	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	0:2

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