Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sacachispas		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.6	2.85
				Watch
	3.22	2.52	2.65
	3.15	2.53	2.67	Watch
	2.62	2.62	2.9
	2.96	2.93	2.42
	2.42	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.44)	2.67 ↓ (2.86)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
32.4%

Draw
34.4%

UAI Urquiza
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

32.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

32.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.

UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacachispas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacachispas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - UAI Urquiza (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacachispas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). UAI Urquiza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Troncoso F. (G) 4. Romero K. 2. Cena S. 6. Buonofiglio A. 3. Cruz A. 5. Priori R. 10. Visco A. 9. Villalba J. 11. Campuzano C. 8. Monje A. 7. Martinez J.	1. Viain I. (G) 4. Rodriguez V. 2. Ordonez C. 6. Postel F. 3. Alaniz M. 8. Ingratti J. 5. Arcuri L. (C) 7. Madero P. 11. Ismael Aguirre G. M. 9. Brito M. 10. Caceres P.
Substitutes
17. Abregu E. 15. Barreiro E. 19. Brotzman S. 14. Cardozo L. 13. Fariza L. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 16. Magnano T. 20. Medina L. 18. Zarate L.	12. Bottini A. (G) 14. Ferrara J. 16. Galli F. 18. Naranjo W. 13. Piccinetti S. 15. Rios N. 19. Scarcella R. 17. Sciacqua S. 20. Vazquez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Postel F. (Own goal),
24', Monje A. 🟨,
37', Postel F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Brito M. ⚽,
64', Postel F. 🟨,
67', Madero P. ↓, Piccinetti S. ↑,
67', Brito M. ↓, Sciacqua S. ↑,
67', Ismael Aguirre G. M. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
71', Romero K. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
71', Priori R. ↓, Abregu E. ↑,
79', Caceres P. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
79', Campuzano C. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
83', Visco A. ↓, Medina L. ↑,
84', Monje A. ↓, Zarate L. ↑,
88', Ingratti J. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
89', Ordonez C. 🟨,

Preview

Postponed due to bad weather.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacachispas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
31.05.25	Sacachispas - Villa San Carlos	0:1 ✺
23.05.25	Real Pilar - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
31.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	UAI Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
19.08.24	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:0
30.03.24	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	1:0
29.07.23	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	3:1
03.04.23	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:0
21.08.21	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	2:2
11.04.21	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	3:4
06.12.20	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:1

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