The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 30.5%
Draw 31.6%
Real Pilar 37.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.6%
29.9%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
29.3%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 5. Arcuri L. 10. Asprea T. 3. Caceres A. 8. Ibanez E. 9. Mesa F. 11. Pesse V. 6. Postel F. 2. Rodriguez V. 7. Scacchi S.
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 8. Camargo T. 11. Crocco M. 2. Gelos V. 4. Isola G. 3. Leguiza D. 7. Mancini V. 10. Pansardi F. 5. Rios N. 9. Rodriguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Ibanez E. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
65', Mancini V. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
70', Arcuri L. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
70', Mesa F. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
80', Rodriguez V. ↓, Ciancio V. ↑,
80', Galli F. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
81', Leguiza D. ↓, Isola G. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Diaz E. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 21st in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Real Pilar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Real Pilar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UAI Urquiza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Real Pilar ✔
41
18
11
12
44:40
4
65
21
UAI Urquiza
41
7
21
13
25:36
-11
42
Last Results with these Odds
UAI Urquiza - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.6%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Viain I. (G) 
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