Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sacachispas		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	3.3	2.62	2.45
	2.5	2.98	2.75
	7.86	1.37	4.33	Watch
	3.4	3.09	2.22
	2.34	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.41)	2.65 ↓ (3.09)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
27.5%

Draw
37.8%

Excursionistas
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacachispas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Sacachispas - Excursionistas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Excursionistas (1.70) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacachispas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Excursionistas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 4. Romero K. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Buonofiglio A. 3. Cruz A. 8. Monje A. 5. Priori R. 10. Hector Canteros 11. Torres L. 7. Martinez J. 9. Arrieta S.	1. Cajal N. (G) 4. Arciero R. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Abre F. 3. Arango M. 8. Zoratti G. 5. Peralta C. 7. Velazco N. 10. Vera I. 9. Zarate J. 11. Sosa F.
Substitutes
14. Barreiro E. 19. Brotzman S. 18. Campuzano C. 15. Molina D. 13. Moschen E. 20. Toldo F. 17. Villalba J. 16. Visco A.	19. Damiolini N. 17. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 20. Martinez M. 15. Parodi G. 18. Scaramuzzi E. 14. Schiavulli T. 12. Vergara F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Buonofiglio A. ↓, Moschen E. ↑,
39', Cruz A. 🟨,
42', Vera I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Vera I. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Torres L. ⚽,
62', Agorreca N. 🟥,
70', Velazco N. 🟨,
73', Arrieta S. ↓, Campuzano C. ↑,
73', Torres L. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
77', Zarate J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
77', Velazco N. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
85', Hector Canteros ↓, Molina D. ↑,
85', Martinez J. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
89', Peralta C. ↓, Pereyra O. ↑,
89', Vera I. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 14).

Recent performances by Sacachispas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Excursionistas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sacachispas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sacachispas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Sacachispas - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
05.09.25	Acassuso - Sacachispas	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Argentino de Merlo - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Sacachispas - Argentino de Quilmes	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Villa Dálmine - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWL
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
06.09.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
25.04.25	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	3:1
07.09.24	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	1:1
21.04.24	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	0:3
Argentinian Primera C
11.06.16	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	1:0

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