Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	6.1
	1.58	3.4	6.29
	1.60	3.39	6.05	Watch
	1.6	3.47	6.37
	1.55	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)	3.41 ↓ (4.18)	6.06 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
57.9%

Draw
26.9%

Sacachispas
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Monzon S. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.	1. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 4. Romero K. 2. Moschen E. 6. Molina D. 3. Magnano T. 8. Monje A. 5. Priori R. 10. Hector Canteros 11. Torres L. 7. Martinez J. 9. Arrieta S.
Substitutes
16. Abbruzzesse M. 15. Aguilar D. 19. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 20. Chavez C. 17. Goyeneche J. 14. Meza F. 18. Olivera E. 13. Penepil M.	12. Barreiro E. 15. Barreiro E. 20. Brotzman S. 18. Campuzano C. 14. Caravaca I. 17. Cristaldo J. 13. Oltmann J. C. 19. Villalba J. 16. Visco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Romero K. 🟨,
45', Romero K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
56', Monzon S. ↓, Abbruzzesse M. ↑,
56', Frattini M. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
57', Figueroa R. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Abbruzzesse M. ⚽,
63', Torres L. ↓, Campuzano C. ↑,
63', Arrieta S. ↓, Cristaldo J. ↑,
70', Molina F. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
73', Monje A. 🟨,
77', Cristaldo J. 🟨,
79', Penepil M. 🟨,
81', Monje A. 🟨,
83', Campana A. I. ↓, Chavez C. ↑,
84', Hector Canteros ↓, Barreiro E. ↑,
90+3', Martinez J. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
90+7', Brotzman S. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Vico L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2.

Recent performances by Ferrocarril have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sacachispas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferrocarril is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
15.09.25	Deportivo Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
08.09.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Villa San Carlos - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	UAI Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWTLW
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
13.09.25	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Acassuso - Sacachispas	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Argentino de Merlo - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Sacachispas - Argentino de Quilmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
19.10.24	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0
02.06.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas	3:0
Argentinian Primera C
14.05.17	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2
30.10.16	Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas	0:1
02.05.16	Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas	0:1

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