Match Info

Primera B - Round 16

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Monumental de Villa Lynch (Buenos Aires)


	UAI Urquiza		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.68	2.18	Watch
	4.24	2.66	2.18
	4.17	2.54	2.17	Watch
	4	2.5	2.1
	4.21	2.58	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.21)	2.59 ↓ (2.77)	2.15 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UAI Urquiza
22.5%

Draw
35.1%

Villa Dálmine
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

33%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

32.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UAI Urquiza's form might have worsened.

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

UAI Urquiza - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 2. Rodriguez V. 6. Caceres A. 3. Monzon S. 8. Arcuri L. 5. Ibanez E. 10. Asprea T. 11. Polizotto M. 7. Rios N. 9. Diaz E.	1. Rojas J. (G) 4. Gamba L. 2. Broggi C. 6. Amicone A. 3. Martinez D. 7. Resquin G. 8. Garzino F. 5. Solis M. 11. Ramon E. 10. Torres G. 9. Brandan L.
Substitutes
13. Ciancio V. 19. Marin A. 17. Pesse V. 14. Prado F. 16. Rocha T. 12. Rolon J. (G) 18. Scacchi S. 20. Scarcella R. 15. Soria M.	14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Guerrero A. (G) 13. Karnincic B. 19. Morales M. 15. Nizzo M. 20. Oro P. 18. Prim S. 17. Vitale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Ibanez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ramon E. ↓, Prim S. ↑,
65', Torres G. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
73', Arcuri L. ↓, Pesse V. ↑,
73', Polizotto M. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
79', Brandan L. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
80', Resquin G. ↓, Vitale D. ↑,
82', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, UAI Urquiza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa Dálmine is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Villa Dálmine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villa Dálmine will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21:35	-14	35

Last Results with these Odds

UAI Urquiza - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
08.05.26	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
09.05.26	Ituzaingó - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.07.25	UAI Urquiza - Villa Dálmine	1:0
18.02.25	Villa Dálmine - UAI Urquiza	0:1
22.07.24	Villa Dálmine - UAI Urquiza	1:0
03.03.24	UAI Urquiza - Villa Dálmine	0:0
Copa Argentina
17.07.18	Villa Dálmine - UAI Urquiza	1:0 penalties

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