Match Info

Primera B - Round 15

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ituzaingó		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.85	1.95
	3.75	2.82	2.02	Watch
	3.76	2.84	2.19
	3.9	2.58	2.23	Watch
	3.5	2.63	2.2
	3.81	2.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.75)	2.74 ↓ (3.04)	2.12 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
24.1%

Draw
33.1%

Villa Dálmine
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

30.1%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

29.1%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituzaingó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ituzaingó - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balderrama M. A. (G) 6. Aguirre M. 9. Brotzman S. 4. Campusano M. 8. Fanti J. 7. Liporace I. 5. Maciel E. 2. Mantovani E. (C) 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 3. Politano A.	1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 9. Brandan L. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 11. Ponzo T. 7. Resquin G. 5. Solis M. 10. Torres G.
Substitutes
12. Acevedo H. (G) 14. Bermejo M. 15. Fernandez J. 20. Gras S. 16. Ibanez E. 17. Luppino F. 18. Mendez L. 13. Politano R. 19. Sotelo A.	13. Amicone A. 14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 18. Morales M. 15. Nizzo M. 19. Oro P. 20. Paez M. 17. Ramon E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Brandan L. ⚽,
8', Solis M. 🟨,
15', Martinez D. 🟨,
25', Aguirre M. ↓, Bermejo M. ↑,
45+3', Santiago N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Liporace I. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
50', Mantovani E. 🟨,
58', Mena L. ↓, Sotelo A. ↑,
61', Resquin G. 🟨,
61', Bermejo M. 🟨,
71', Brandan L. 🟨,
72', Politano A. ↓, Ibanez E. ↑,
72', Santiago N. ↓, Gras S. ↑,
77', Ponzo T. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
77', Torres G. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Brandan L. ⚽,
85', Luppino F. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Ituzaingó has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villa Dálmine is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Villa Dálmine is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
04.05.26	Comunicaciones - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ituzaingó	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWT

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