Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.78	3.1	4.1
	1.83	3.3	4.3
	1.85	3.26	4.32
	1.89	3.33	3.86	Watch
	1.84	3.3	4.27
	1.83	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	4.16 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
49.9%

Draw
28.1%

Algeciras
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

29%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 22. Jimenez D. 5. Asencio R. 29. Rivas M. 27. Fortuny P. 16. Antonio David 26. De Llanos H. 17. Ruiz D. 9. Munoz V. 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.	1. Venteo I. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 4. Spatz L. M. 22. Coch A. 3. Merchan D. 6. Montes E. 8. Turrillo I. 23. Gomez J. 19. Illesca M. 10. Esteban Diego 7. Rodri
Substitutes
21. De Leon J. 25. de Luis M. (G) 35. Ortega J. 33. Perea C. 4. Pujol E. 28. Ribes K. 36. Yanez D. 23. Yusi	21. Celorio N. 31. Dominiguez C. 25. Fernandez D. (G) 15. Fernandez M. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 14. Javi Alonso 17. Leiva A. 2. Roldan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽,
44', Antonio David 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Montes E. 🟨,
56', Antonio David ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Gomez J. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
76', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Real Madrid Castilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Alcorcón - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.10.24	Algeciras - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Algeciras - Hércules	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Betis B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Algeciras - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Intercity - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.02.24	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0
19.11.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.05.23	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1
08.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.05.22	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1
14.11.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	2:0

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