Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	UCAM Murcia		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.7	3.3	4.8
	1.74	3.32	5.09
	1.71	3.31	4.99	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.7	3.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	4.9 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
54%

Draw
27.4%

Deportivo A Coruña B
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

28%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

26.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportivo A Coruña B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

UCAM Murcia - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Javi Ramirez ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Socorro J. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Sanchez K. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

UCAM Murcia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Deportivo B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, UCAM Murcia is a strong favorite.

We predict that UCAM Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.05.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Don Benito - UCAM Murcia	2:4 ✺
20.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWT
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Laredo - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:5 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Llanera - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.05.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - UCAM Murcia	0:0

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