Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	UCAM Murcia		Minera

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.85
	1.94	3.18	3.89	Watch
	1.75	3.26	5.25
	1.64	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	4.83 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
52.9%

Draw
28%

Minera
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

UCAM Murcia - Minera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽,
29', Ayala 🟥,
42', 1 - 1, Perdomo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
89', 2 - 1, Vila X. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Mizzian M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

In recent matches, UCAM Murcia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Minera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

UCAM Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, UCAM Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

UCAM Murcia - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Cádiz	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWW
- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Minera - Águilas	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:2
08.12.24	Minera - UCAM Murcia	0:0

Upcoming Matches