Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Don Benito		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.7	1.5
	6	3.75	1.49
	5.8	3.86	1.65
	6	3.89	1.51
	6.77	3.54	1.57
	6	3.75	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↓ (7)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Don Benito
15.2%

Draw
24.6%

UCAM Murcia
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

25.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

22.4%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Don Benito - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, del Campo R. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Chit O. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Chit O. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Marin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 2 - 3, Bosch M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 4, Ramis Luque A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Don Benito is Relegated to

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match UCAM Murcia is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.04.25	Xerez Deportivo - Don Benito	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Xerez CD - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Don Benito - Minera	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	San Fernando - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Don Benito - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WTLWL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Minera	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.12.24	UCAM Murcia - Don Benito	2:0
05.01.20	Don Benito - UCAM Murcia	1:3
27.01.19	Don Benito - UCAM Murcia	1:1
09.09.18	UCAM Murcia - Don Benito	2:1

Upcoming Matches