Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.15
	1.69	3.38	5.19
	1.66	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.28 ↓ (3.54)	5.18 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
54.6%

Draw
27.8%

Xerez Deportivo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

26.2%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Dorado Perez C. D. (Own goal),
45', 1 - 1, Dieste C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, UCAM Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Melilla - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTWL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	La Unión - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Minera	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.05.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	3:0
22.12.24	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	0:2
29.01.23	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:2
11.09.22	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	3:0

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